Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.The Nikkei 225 index fell to 1%.The central bank's open market today launched a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 205.1 billion yuan, and the operating interest rate was flat at 1.50%. Today, 190.9 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase expired, and the net investment on that day was 14.2 billion yuan.
Klarna, a Swedish payment company, said that it stopped recruiting hundreds of employees because of AI during the year. Sebastian Siemiatkowski, CEO of Klarna, a Swedish payment company planning to go public in the US, said that the company stopped recruiting a year ago, mainly because it invested in artificial intelligence (AI), which can replace the work of hundreds of employees in the company. According to Siemiatkowski, the number of employees decreased by 22% to 3,500 within one year, mainly due to brain drain. He pointed out that at present, about 200 employees in the company use artificial intelligence for their core work, and will improve the efficiency of artificial intelligence by accelerating the salary growth of employees.On December 4, the price of pig food was 7.74, up 0.52% from November 27. According to the data of the National Development and Reform Commission, as of December 4, the price of live pigs nationwide was 16.72 yuan/kg, down 1.30% from November 27. The price of corn in the main wholesale market is 2.16 yuan/kg, down 1.82% from November 27; The price of pig food was 7.74, up 0.52% from November 27th.The negative spread of 10-year treasury bonds between China and the United States has expanded to more than 250BP, the largest since June 2002.
Chief economist of CITIC Jiantou: More active finance and moderately loose currency are beneficial to both stocks and debts. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, interpreted the Central Economic Work Conference and said that the meeting stressed that it is necessary to maintain stable economic growth next year, maintain overall stability in employment and prices, raise the fiscal and monetary adjustment to the strongest level for many years, and give priority to expanding domestic demand. The construction of modern industrial system focuses on new quality productivity, and the economic system reform has landmark measures to expand autonomy and unilateral opening up in an orderly manner to stabilize the property market and stock market. Stable employment and stable prices will bring about both nominal and real growth, more active finance and moderately loose currency, which will be beneficial to both stocks and debts, the stock index, valuation and liquidity will stabilize and rebound, and the bond market interest rate will have more downside. Looking forward to 2025, the 5% real and nominal GDP growth rate is the direction of efforts. The growth is more brought about by the domestic demand boost and two innovations, new quality productivity and new supply, industrial digitalization and digital industrialization, rural revitalization and new urbanization, Belt and Road Initiative and opening up, and the high-quality ending of the "14 th Five-Year Plan" started the "15 th Five-Year Plan".The net outflow of the main market exceeded 10 billion.Leader of the largest opposition party in South Korea: Impeachment is the most reliable way to end the chaos. Li Zaiming, leader of the Common Democratic Party, the largest opposition party in South Korea, said in a statement on the 13th that impeachment is the quickest and most reliable way to end the chaos. Li Zaiming said that President Yin Xiyue tried to cover up the crime with lies, and Yin Xiyue, the "culprit of civil strife", should step down immediately. He also called on members of the ruling National Power Party to vote in favor of the second vote of the presidential impeachment motion on the 14th. (Xinhua News Agency)
Strategy guide
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Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide